Fed's Waller says inclined at this point to cut rates in December

1 month ago 64

Updated

Dec 03, 2024, 05:00 AM

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Dec 03, 2024, 05:00 AM

WASHINGTON - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Dec 2 he was inclined to cut the benchmark interest rate at the Dec 17-18 meeting as monetary policy remained restrictive enough to keep putting downward pressure on inflation, while the labor market was roughly in balance, something the Fed wants to maintain.

“Policy is still restrictive enough that an additional cut at our next meeting will not dramatically change the stance of monetary policy and allow ample scope to later slow the pace of rate cuts, if needed, to maintain progress toward our inflation target,” Waller said in comments at a central bank symposium organized by the American Institute for Economic Research.

At the same time Waller said upcoming data on jobs, inflation and consumer spending could still sway him to pause if it appears that progress on inflation is stalling.

“All of that information will help me decide whether to cut or skip. As of today, I am leaning toward continuing the work we have started in returning monetary policy to a more neutral setting” with continued rate cuts, said Waller, who has been a key voice in shaping the Fed’s response to inflation that erupted to a 40-year high in 2022.

The Fed began reducing interest rates in September with a half-point reduction, following that with a quarter-point cut in November.

A further quarter-point cut in December has been expected, but recent inflation data raised concern that progress may have stalled. One key measure, the personal consumption expenditures price index stripped of food and energy costs, has been mired in a range from 2.6 per cent to 2.8 per cent since May, well above the Fed’s 2 per cent target.

“If the data we receive between today and the next meeting surprise in a way that suggests our forecasts of slowing infla...

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